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W.D. Borrie Lecture:

The Hon. Dr Barry Jones AO

Plenary sessions:

Professor Ron Lesthaeghe When history moves on: The foundations and diffusion of a second demographic transition
Professor Frank D. Bean Demographic imbalances in the United States and Latin America
Professor Gavin W. Jones Asian demographic transitions: Transitions to what?

Presidential Address:

Dr Nick Parr Do children from small families do better?

Concurrent sessions:

Session 1 Session 2 Session 3 Session 4 Session 5 Session 6 Session 7

Session 1A--Fertility and Policy

Leslie Cannold Absent or recalcitrant men or family-unfriendly workplaces? Uncovering the real cause of Australia’s fertility decline
Peng Yu, Rebecca Kippen & Bruce Chapman Births, debts and mirages: The impact of HECS on fertility
Peter McDonald Can policy influence low fertility?

Session 1B--Australian Census Analytic Program I

Dennis Trewin The Australian Census Analytic Program
Chris Chamberlain & David MacKenzie Counting the homeless 2001
Neil Barr The demographic transition of the Australian farm sector

Session 1C--Micro-simulation Models

John O'Leary Modelling household formation via a microsimulation model
Laurie Brown Spatial microsimulation modelling of care needs, costs and the capacity for self-provision: detailed regional projections for older Australians to 2020
Richard Cumpston Models of the income, expenditure and assets of Australians

Session 1D--Internal Migration I

Graeme Byrne & Angela Pezic Modelling internal migration drivers with geographically weighted regression
Martin Bell, Tom Wilson & Matthias Kubler Continuity and change in the spatial structure of Australian internal migration
Philip Morrison Migration catchments, migration fields and distressed communities

Session 1E--Health I

Kuldeep Bhatia Australia's health 2004
Petru Muresan Longitudinal study of morbidity of the population in Romania

Session 2A--Fertility Preference and Behaviour

Edith Gray & Ann Evans Parity progression in Australia: What role does sex of existing children play?
Lareen Newman Family size and fertility gaps in Australia: the influence of men's and women's experiences of conception, pregnancy, birth and early parenthood
Patrick Corr & Rebecca Kippen The case for parity statistics

Session 2B--Australian Census Analytic Program II

Boyd Hamilton Hunter Indigenous Australians in the contemporary labour market
Graeme Hugo Australia’s most recent immigrants
Siew-Ean Khoo & David Lucas Australians' ancestries 2001

Session 2C--Ageing and the Labour Force

Ewa Orzechowska-Fischer Labour force ageing: Its impact on employment level and structure. The cases from Japan and Australia
Terry Rawnsley & Joanne Baker Measuring the age at withdrawal from the labour force
Wendy Cooper Labour force characteristics of mature age persons

Session 2D--Internal Migration II

Elin Charles-Edwards Have work, will travel: Production-related temporary mobility in Australia
Kim Kirstein & Suniti Bandranaike Rural youth drain: Attitudes, behaviours & perceptions
Yohannes Kinfu & John Taylor Modelling Indigenous Inter-regional migration flows in Australia

Session 2E--Marriage

Cindee Richardson Who wants to be a wife? How divorce impacts the daughters' desire to marry
Lany Trinh Married by Angkar: Marriage under the Khmer Rouge revolution
Raya Muttarak Marital assimilation: Interethnic marriage in Britain

Session 3A--Work and Family Life

Ariane J. Utomo Women as equal partners and secondary earners: Gendered expectations on career and family formation in modern Indonesia
Habtemariam Tesfaghiorghis Education, work, fertility and childcare in Australia
Jennifer Baxter Increasing employment of partnered mothers: changes in child care use

Session 3B--Health II

Kuldeep Bhatia Past, present and future health of Australian adults
Lado Ruzicka & Ching Choi Co-morbidity of suicide in Australia
Annette Jose, Ravi Ravindiran & Ruel Abello Health status labour force non-participation nexus: Evidence from pooled NHS data

Session 3C--Population Geography

Farhad Reza Why the new structure for the ACT?
Frank Blanchfield Mesh blocks: A new building block of Australian geography
Hamish Robertson & Nick Nicholas Locating the “Old Old” in our communities: A GIS approach

Session 3D--Sustaining Populations

Jenny Goldie The urgent need to stabilise population in light of global climate change
Ross Barker South East Queensland: Australia’s population powerhouse - what is the future?
Suniti Bandaranaike A taste of bitter sweet sugar

Session 3E--Population Issues in Asia and the Pacific

Helen Ware Pacific instability and youth bulges: the devil in the demography and the economy
Terence H. Hull Sexuality in Southeast Asia: Exploring potentially harmful practices
Zhang Xia Postponement of childbearing and lowest-low fertility, Hong Kong 1976-2001

Session 4A--Reproductive Health and Demographic Change

Gerald Haberkorn & Arthur Jorari Cairo+10: Where have we failed to go?
Joanne Epp Population and the millennium development goals: Opportunities for the world bank to advance the Cairo agenda
Lesley Vick Australia’s Report Card – How are we doing internationally?
David Lucas Recent surprises and changes in Australian demography

Session 4B--Ageing

Jeromey Temple Elderly Australians purchase of health insurance in a period of rapid policy change
Natalie Jackson The business of population ageing
Sol Encel & Diana Olsberg Longevity, social relations and positive ageing
Mansoor Khawaja Some reflections on the emerging mobility patterns of older New Zealanders

Session 4C--International Migration and Settlement I

Julia Hinsliff Who lucks out in the lucky country? Early settlement indicators of recent arrivals in Australia
Laurence Lester & Sue Richardson A comparison of the labour market success of recent immigrants to Australia and Canada
Mitra Khakbaz, Narayan Gopalkrishan & Hurriyet Babacan
Sustaining the regions: Issues of international migration, settlement and ethnic diversity
Siew-Ean Khoo et al. Temporary skilled migration to Australia: Employers' perspectives

Session 4D--Ethnic Diversity

Jean Louis Rallu Access to citizenship and integration of migrants: Lessons from the French case
Lujuan Chen Modelling languages (other than English) spoken in Australia using census data
Yaghoob Foroutan Demographic and socio- economic characteristics of Muslim women in Australia

Session 4E--Indigenous Population Issues

Bryan Kennedy & David Firman Indigenous SEIFA - revealing the ecological fallacy
Gaminiratne Wijesekere Achieving Indigenous outcomes in an ATSIC environment: Issues and constraints
Patricia Strauss Indigenous students moving town or dropping out of school? Using cross-sectoral data on student mobility within community catchments to rethink some key performance indicators for Indigenous education in NSW
Shail Jain & M. Shahidullah Indigenous mortality estimation: an application of Bhat's recent reformulation of Brass Growth Balance Equation

Session 5A--Children and Caring

Cathy Hales Primary carers: what they say about motivation to care and the impact of caring on personal a family life
David de Vaus & Matthew Gray Family transitions during childhood, 1946-2000
Julie Kos & Christine Mason Our children: Who are they and where are they heading?

Session 5B--Housing and Living Arrangements in Ageing Society

John O’Leary & Chris Wight
Recent trends in household formation in Melbourne
Hongyan Wang & Janice Miller Rental housing assistance for older Australians
Wei Zhou Living arrangements of the old people in China: Since 1990s

Session 5C--Small Area Issues and Estimates

Andrew Howe Assessing the accuracy of Australia’s small area population estimates, 2001
Marian Mackintosh & Angélique Parr New South Wales state and regional population projections 2001-2051
Crichton Smith Taking Stock: A significant impact of not having consistent Statistical Local Areas (SLAs) across Australia

Session 5D--Rural Populations

Jeremy Reynolds, Chris Wight & Anne Barlow Ageing in the bush - A perspective from Victoria
Neil Argent & Fran Rolley Inhabiting the margins: A geography of rural homelessness in Australia
Sarah Goodall Community-led migration strategies: A comparative study of rural to urban migration from three nomadic pastoral communities in Ladakh, northern India

Session 5E--Population Issues in Iran

Meimanat Hossein Chavoshi, Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi & Peter McDonald Women’s autonomy and reproductive behavior in Iran
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Meimanat Hossein Chavoshi & Peter McDonald Convergence of fertility ideals in Iran: A comparative study of the youth and the older generation
Yaghoob Foroutan Population-related issues in the context of culture: The case of Iranian proverbs (Popular statements)

Session 6A--Family Planning

Adrian Hayes Family planning, reproductive rights and public policy during the reform era in Indonesia
Guangyu Zhang Does the family planning program affect fertility preferences? The case of China
Rina Herartri Family planning decision-making: Case studies in West Java, Indonesia

Session 6B--Population Ageing and the Future

Craig Toussaint & John Rollo Federally funded aged care provision in regional Victoria: Examining current provision and estimating future infrastructure requirements using existing population-based benchmarks
Don Rowland Demographic adaptations to population ageing
Habtemariam Tesfaghiorghis & William Sermeno Projections of the number of age pensioners and expenditure: 2004-2021
Jeromey Temple Sources of heterogeneity in elderly living arrangements-The space, timing and numerical dimensions

Session 6C--International Migration and Settlement II

Abdul Hakim, Patrick Corr & Justin Farrow International migration: Conceptual and measurement puzzles
Hong Xoan Nguyen Thi & Graeme Hugo Marriage migration between Vietnam and Taiwan: Trends and issues
Linqing Yao Chinese overseas students
Rita Afsar Migration from Indian sub-continent to Western Australia: Some intriguing issues of religious composition and political integration

Session 6D--Population dot com

David Lucas The diffusion of demographic facts and findings in Australia; druids, dingoes, dinosaurs and disseminators
Anthea Bill & Rachel Lloyd Australia online: How Australians are using computers and the internet
Wendy Cooper & Maryann Wood Use of information technology by older people
Robert Ackland & Edith Gray Australia's online presence: What potential migrants find out about Australia from the WWW

Session 6E--Mortality

Debra Judge Comparative biodemography: What comparative studies of life span tell us about the human life span
Nicola Tatham & Krys Sadkowsky The mortality of communicable diseases over the 20th century
Dominic Brown Regional mortality inequalities in Australia, 1991-2001
Paul Meyer Compression of mortality: is there a real story?

Session 7A--Timor Leste: Demographic and Health Issues

Iwu Utomo War and conflict in Timor Leste, the impact on women’s lives
Michael Dibley Nutrition and health of children in Timor Leste
Terry Hull Fertility after the conflict and during the famine: The case of Timor Leste

Session 7B--Using Longitudinal Data

Brigid Van Wanrooy Changes in working time preferences over the lifecourse
Lois Bryson, Jennifer Powers & Penny Warner-Smith Using population data for longitudinal research: Possibilities and problems
Robert Johnstone Growing up in Australia: A unique data resource for researchers

Session 7C--Forecasting Populations

Heather Booth Longevity and aging in Australia
Shail Jain, Matthew Montgomery & Olivia Agius Household, family and living arrangements of the population of Australia, 1986 to 2026
Tom Wilson & Martin Bell Subnational probabilistic population forecasts for Australia

Session 7D--Relationships in Australia

Abdul Hakim Social marital status in Australia: Evidence from 2001 Census
Shaun Wilson Attitudes to same sex couples and families: new evidence from the Australian Survey of Social Attitudes
Trevor Breusch & Edith Gray Does marriage improve the wages of men and women in Australia?

Session 7E--Mortality in Asia

Tim Adair Child mortality in Indonesia’s mega-urban regions: measurement, analysis of differentials, and policy implications
Vinh Nguyen Age patterns of mortality in Vietnam from 1989 to 2003
Zhongwei Zhao Mortality transition in Shanghai