APA Monthly Webinar
Abstract: The intensity and frequency of extreme weather events are set to increase with climate change, yet little is known about their implications for internal migration and future population projections. In this seminar, Aude Bernard will present new evidence from two recent papers on how climate-related disasters are shaping residential mobility patterns. Drawing on 15 years of nationally representative data from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey, the research provides the first causal and longitudinal assessment of disaster-related moves, showing that each year about 22,000 Australians move after experiencing home damage from floods, bushfires, or cyclones. While most moves occur over short distanced the year of the event, other moves are delayed or followed by return migration. Younger adults, renters, and low-income households are most affected, highlighting social inequalities in exposure and capacity to recover. Despite the detrimental impacts on affected communities and households, the overall effect on internal migration remains too small to warrant integration into population projections.
Aude Bernard Aude is a demographer and population geographer at the Queensland Centre for Population Research at the University of Queensland. Her research focuses on understanding internal migration processes and their consequences for individuals, regions and nations. Her contributions to formal demography include the development of measurement and estimation techniques that facilitate large-scale international comparisons of migration levels, patterns and selectivity. Building on the life-course perspective, her theoretical contributions include the concept of migration capital and the intergenerational transmission of migration. Aude's current projects include: (1) internal migration and the regional retention of immigrants, (2) internal migration forecasting, (3) the long-term consequences of childhood migration and (3) the impact of climate change on migration within and to Australia. She is currently Chief Investigator on two Australian Research Council’s Discovery Projects and a Linkage Project.
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Quantifying Global International Migration Accurate data on international migration flows remains one of the most critical gaps in global demographic research and policy-making. This talk presents a comprehensive overview of methods developed to estimate migration flows between all countries worldwide. ...